Domantas Sabonis Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:25 AM UTC

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has averaged 8.7 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league leaders by this metric in recent games: 99th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 35.1 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Kings have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.

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