Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2024

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 4, 2024

Updated Apr 4, 2024 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (14.4).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has attempted a mere 10.6 shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 13.5 rate last season.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
When it comes to scoring, the Rockets's feeble 42.7% field goal percentage comes in as the fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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