Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:17 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has tallied 30.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have totaled the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 13.5 mark, Dillon Brooks's field goal attempts have regressed this year to 10.7 per game.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 46.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.

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