Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has sunk an impressive 46.7% of his field goals this year, a significant increase from his 39.5 rate last year.
Dillon Brooks has made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's made in all games this season at home.
Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 30.4 minutes per game at home this year.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Rockets's subpar 110.7 points per game measures as the 7th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Portland is a challenging one; when the Trail Blazers are on the road, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (12.1).
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, making it tough to draw fouls.