Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Mar 24, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 6:21 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Rockets is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court.
The Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to increase opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has attempted a measly 13.7 shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 16.2 rate last year.
Dillon Brooks has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court.
Dillon Brooks has successfully made a mere 1.7 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.5 rate last season.
The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game this year (12th-least in the league).