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Devin Vassell

Devin Vassell Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Devin Vassell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Devin Vassell has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
  • This year when they are on the road, the other team has totaled 10.5 threes per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.
  • The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a measly 20.0 foul shots per game when the Nuggets are playing at home this year (6th-least in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Devin Vassell has attempted a lowly 13.4 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 15.7 mark last season.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • In comparison to last year's 71.8% clip, Devin Vassell's free-throw performance has declined this year to 66.7%.

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