Desmond Bane Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Desmond Bane

NBA · Player Props

Desmond Bane

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Desmond Bane Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Desmond Bane has attempted 19.3 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 16.5 rate last year.
Relative to last season's 6.9 mark, Desmond Bane's 3-point attempts have risen this season to 9.3 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane places in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 33.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Desmond Bane has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have totaled 15.5 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive output.
The slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has brought down 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

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