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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/16/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has totaled 2.9 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, placing him among the NBA's best by this standard in recent days: 97th percentile.

The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II ought to see a decline in production for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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