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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has compiled 3.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season at home.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Houston Rockets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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