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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has tallied 2.7 offensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 95th percentile.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league while playing on the road this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dereck Lively II has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have grabbed 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks (saving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).
  • Dereck Lively II stands to see a decline in output in all stat categories due to playing away from hom in this contest.

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