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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has tallied 3.7 offensive boards per game away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
  • The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • Dereck Lively II will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dereck Lively II has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the league at home this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Mavericks.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
  • This year when they are at home, their opposition has secured 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Clippers (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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