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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has totaled 3.5 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
  • Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dereck Lively II has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
  • Dereck Lively II will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

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