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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has tallied 2.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 95th percentile.
  • Away from their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Dereck Lively II figures to get a boost in performance in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dereck Lively II has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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