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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has made 66.0% of his shots from the field when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 48.2% field goal rate without the home court advantage places 3rd-most in the league this year.

The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

The clash with Domantas Sabonis in regard to getting to the foul line slots into only the 75th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting an enormous 3.0 free throws per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game on the road this year, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The number of three-point shots sunk against Domantas Sabonis has been remarkably low (0.5 per game) when he is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year (17th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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