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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has converted 74.6% of his field goal attempts at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
  • The 6th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 10th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
  • Dereck Lively II figures to see a rise in output across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game at home this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II measures in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.9 fouls per game on his home court this year.
  • The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Jaxson Hayes has been remarkably low (0.9 per game) when on the visiting team and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
  • The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Jaxson Hayes has been remarkably low this year (2.3 free throws per game: 7th percentile).

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