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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Houston Rockets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 32.3% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted an enormous 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Rockets have the home court advantage (22nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has converted 0.0% of his treys away from his home court this year, putting him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Dereck Lively II has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 0.0 three-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, resulting in a tough matchup.

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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