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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has made 69.0% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Wizards have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Wizards, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II slots into the 8th percentile for three-point ability without the home court advantage with a a poor 0.0% rate this year.

Dereck Lively II has accumulated 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged 0.8 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, making this a tough matchup.

The Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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