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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II places in the 95th percentile for field goal ability playing at home with a an exceptional 71.1% rate this year.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.

The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pelicans).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has made 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc away from home this year, ranking him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Dereck Lively II has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (0.0).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Without the home court advantage, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (16.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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