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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 97th percentile for scoring ability without the home court advantage with a a very good 79.3% rate since the start of last season.
  • In terms of offense, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 120.1 points per game as the away team places 4th-highest in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Clippers is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 24th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
  • The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing starting Cs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (26th-highest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dereck Lively II has made 0.0% of his treys while on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Dereck Lively II has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the league at home this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Mavericks.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
  • This year when they are at home, their opposition has secured 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Clippers (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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