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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II slots into the 96th percentile for field goal performance on his home court with a a stellar 68.8% rate since the start of last season.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA on the road since the start of last season has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Dereck Lively II has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 14th-least treys per game in the league since the start of last season (0.3).

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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