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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has made 79.2% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league as the home team since the start of last season when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • Away from their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Bulls, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
  • Dereck Lively II figures to get a boost in performance in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II lands in the 12th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc playing at home, registering 0.0 per game since the start of last season.
  • Dereck Lively II has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA since the start of last season (26.1%).
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

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