Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase plays for the Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija has attempted 3.9 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) against the Pacers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Trail Blazers's poor 101.5 points per game while on the road places 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 2.5 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, making this a difficult matchup.
Deni Avdija ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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