Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 8:10 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija is expected to see an increase in performance in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Deni Avdija rates in the 9th percentile for shooting ability with a lackluster 33.7% rate this year.
Compared to last year's 37.1% rate, Deni Avdija's 3-point proficiency has regressed this year to 20.0%.
Deni Avdija has tallied a mere 24.8 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 30.1 minutes per game last season.
The Trail Blazers check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.