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Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Deni Avdija has successfully made 82.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 43.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.

When it comes to shooting, the Washington Wizards's outstanding 48.6% field goal rate while at home places 9th-strongest in the league this year.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a strong matchup.

The quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.

This year, opposing squads have brought down 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Deni Avdija slots into the 80th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

The Wizards will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Heat).

The Washington Wizards rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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