Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has successfully made 82.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 43.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Washington Wizards's outstanding 48.6% field goal rate while at home places 9th-strongest in the league this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a strong matchup.
The quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.
This year, opposing squads have brought down 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Deni Avdija slots into the 80th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Wizards will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Heat).
The Washington Wizards rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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