DeMar DeRozan Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has totaled 3.6 defensive boards per game this year on the road, placing him among the league's best by this standard over this stretch: 77th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 37.9 minutes per game this year.
The Bulls rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has captured 9.0 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile).
The least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
DeMar DeRozan will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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