DeMar DeRozan Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has totaled a whopping 0.9 offensive boards per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.5 offensive boards per game last season.
DeMar DeRozan has tallied 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 17 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, the other team has collected 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Chicago Bulls will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nets).
DeMar DeRozan will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.

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