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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 11/11/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeMar DeRozan has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
  • DeMar DeRozan has tallied 38.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
  • With respect to shooting, the Sacramento Kings's stellar 120.4 points per game while playing on the road settles in as the 4th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The 6th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 95th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, compiling a massive 6.6 foul shot attempts per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Spurs is a tough one for scoring; opposing starting SFs have posted the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (36.0%).
  • The Spurs have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • DeMar DeRozan will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production across the board.

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