DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 4/17/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 17, 2024

Updated Apr 18, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has registered 30.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's registered over the course of the season.
DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 37.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 100th percentile.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have tallied 21.1 points per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).
The Bulls rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Bulls's subpar 111.5 points per game while on their home court rates 7th-worst in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA playing at home this year.

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