DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 10:46 PM UTC

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
DeMar DeRozan has tallied 37.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The Bulls will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons).
The Bulls rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
DeMar DeRozan has attempted 8.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.0 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.
DeMar DeRozan will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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