DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 22, 2024 10:45 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has scored 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's scored overall this season.
Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan places in the 100th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 37.8 minutes per game this year.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while at home over the last 6 games has been the Chicago Bulls.
DeMar DeRozan has attempted 9.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season.
DeMar DeRozan will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has attempted and missed 2.8 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's missed from three in all games this year while on his home court.
The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league while traveling this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

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