DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 1:09 AM UTC

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 17.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 85th percentile for three-point effectiveness playing at home with a an exceptional 44.1% rate this year.
Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan places in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 36.7 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
When playing on the road, the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Chicago Bulls's poor 111.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (11.3).
The least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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