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DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 24.1 mark, DeMar DeRozan's points per game have risen this year to 24.4.

Relative to last year's 24.4% rate, DeMar DeRozan's three-point proficiency has surged this year to 57.3%.

Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.7 minutes per game this year.

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (23rd percentile).

DeMar DeRozan will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually increases stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to offense, the Bulls's unimpressive 107.2 points per game with the home court advantage places 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Miami is a tough one for threes; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 14th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (27.6%).

The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Bulls.

The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bulls.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have nabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat (saving possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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