DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 23.8 shots per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 3.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
DeMar DeRozan has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Bulls.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a tough one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 9th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (45.1%).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Pistons have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
DeMar DeRozan will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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