DeMar DeRozan Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-210/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has made 38.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 10.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while on the road.
Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 100th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 37.8 minutes per game this year.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
The Chicago Bulls have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bulls.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (lowest in the NBA) against the Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
DeMar DeRozan will likely experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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