Dejounte Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Dejounte Murray

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Dejounte Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dejounte Murray has made 54.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing at home.
Dejounte Murray has attempted 5.4 shots from downtown per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Dejounte Murray has tallied 35.5 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Dejounte Murray lands in the 91st percentile for technical fouls, putting up a whopping 0.1 fouls per game away from home since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league with the home court advantage since the start of last season in regard to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league since the start of last season (30.7%).
The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dejounte Murray will likely experience a decrease in performance across the board due to being on the road in this game.