Deandre Ayton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 29, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has totaled 8.5 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.3 more than he's totaled over the course of the season on the road.
Deandre Ayton has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Suns.
The Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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