Deandre Ayton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has posted 9.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's posted over the course of the season.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year while playing away from home (which also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Suns have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (88th percentile).
While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
Deandre Ayton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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