Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has made 6.3 baskets per game at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Deandre Ayton has played 30.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The number of points averaged against Daniel Gafford has been quite high (20.7 per game) when he is away from his home court and facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league at home this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Trail Blazers's subpar 106.1 points per game rates 3rd-worst in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing teams have shot 46.8% on field goal attempts (23rd-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup.
Deandre Ayton has made 61.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 16th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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