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Deandre Ayton

Deandre Ayton Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Deandre Ayton has successfully made 65.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season while on the road.
  • Deandre Ayton has tallied 29.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 79th percentile.
  • The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for scoring; the opposition's starting Cs have put up the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (65.6%).
  • The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
  • The Thunder have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court, which should lead to increased plays for the Suns.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Deandre Ayton has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The matchup vs. Jaylin Williams is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; when Williams is playing at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 0.8 threes per game (3rd percentile).
  • The Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at getting to the foul line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying just 21.6 free throw attempts per game.
  • Deandre Ayton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance across the board.

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