Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has converted 62.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 21.3% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton has sunk 82.7% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 7.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on his home court.
Deandre Ayton will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.
The Phoenix Suns have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Magic is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (0.9).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
While playing away from home, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).