Deandre Ayton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deandre Ayton has made 9.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's sunk in all games this season.
Deandre Ayton has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Hawks have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to increase plays for the Suns.

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has attempted 0.5 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the league.
Deandre Ayton has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
While playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled the 4th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (26.4%).

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