Deandre Ayton Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Deandre Ayton

NBA · Player Props

Deandre Ayton

C · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 1:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Deandre Ayton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deandre Ayton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Deandre Ayton has tallied 0.6 assists per game over the last 15 games, -1.1 less than he's tallied in all games this season.
Deandre Ayton has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

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