De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:59 AM UTC

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 22.4 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 18.7 rate last year.
De'Aaron Fox has attempted 9.0 treys per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 5.8 rate last season.
De'Aaron Fox has played 34.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA while at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Kings's poor 46.4% field goal rate as the home team settles in as the 10th-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Suns, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Kings are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).
This year when they are at home, the other team has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Suns (saving possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Suns, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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