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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

De'Aaron Fox has sunk 2.6 threes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season on the road.

De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against New Orleans is a favorable one; when the Pelicans are playing at home, they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (21.6).

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

De'Aaron Fox has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Pelicans have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lowers stat production for all stats.

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