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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has made a whopping 5.3 baskets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.6 rate last year.

The Wizards rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled 21.6 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making this a favorable matchup for offensive output.

The 2nd-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Wizards.

The Pacers have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to more plays for the Washington Wizards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

In comparison to last year's 2.4 rate, Daniel Gafford's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 3.4.

The Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 11 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have captured 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) against the Pacers (maintaining possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).

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