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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has converted 75.8% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Washington Wizards check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.

The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 22nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.6).

Daniel Gafford has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 24.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season while playing at home.

The matchup against Denver may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 3.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Nuggets are away from home (21st-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Washington Wizards have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Wizards.

The Washington Wizards have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

When playing on the road, the Nuggets have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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