D'Angelo Russell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:42 AM EST

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has posted 25.5 points per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 6.5 more than he's posted overall this season at home.
D'Angelo Russell has made 4.9 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while playing at home.
D'Angelo Russell has played 36.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 5.0 higher than he's played in all games this season at home.
In terms of offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 122.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, D'Angelo Russell places in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a whopping 0.1 fouls per game on his home court this year.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.1 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).