D'Angelo Russell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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D'Angelo Russell

NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has shot and missed 7.1 field goal attempts per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.8 mark last year.
D'Angelo Russell has attempted 8.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
D'Angelo Russell has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.5 more than he's played overall this year at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Utah is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Jazz are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.2).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 7 games at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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