Damian Lillard Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Steals

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 6:55 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -235.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has totaled 1.6 steals per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's totaled overall this year.
Damian Lillard has played 35.0 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
Damian Lillard has averaged just 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 0.1 technicals per game last year.
The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nets).
Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.