Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 11:54 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has compiled 4.1 defensive boards per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this standard over this stretch.
Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game away from home this year.
The Bucks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team.

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Damian Lillard will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production across the board.

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